Calamity
实时地图
中恶劣天气CS: 52 · v1

Orange附近的恶劣天气

EssexUnited StatesNOAA

此刻

我们从 NOAA 收到的最新数据是3小时前的，其中不包含这个位置。我们记录的是探测结果，而不是卫星过境：没有记录并不等于那里什么都没有。

过去 24 小时内，20 公里范围内没有其他探测。

距离和灾害类型
仅这些类型

不勾选即接收所有类型。

每个事件一封邮件，而非每次探测一封。我们先发送确认邮件，每封邮件都附有退订链接。我们只保存邮箱地址和地点，别无其他。

该预警已于 2026年8月8日 01:45 UTC 失效，此处保留作为记录。

这是自 2026年3月17日 以来该点 20 公里范围内记录的 217 次检测中第 14 强的一次。 同一天此处还有另一次可比的记录。 此前两周内，此处另有 40 次记录。

来源测得的内容

NOAA 报告：Flash Flood Warning issued August 7 at 7:30PM EDT until August 7 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ

城市PEI：27,515,300，启发式半径50公里；不是独立个人的计数。

附近，自 2026年3月17日

依据

记录了48个来源，包括NOAA；数量不能证明独立性。

我们对该事件的评分为 52 分（满分 100）。

这是我们的版本化启发式指数，并非校准概率。城市PEI不是独立个人的实际计数。

按评分规则 v1 计算。采用其他版本的记录按不同规则评定，不能直接比较。

数据序列自2026年3月8日开始，比较仅限该时段。采集中断：14-26 2026年8月。

数据由算法汇总自科学来源，不能替代官方紧急警报。

事件数据

类型恶劣天气
严重程度中
Calamity Score（本站）52 / 100
旧版数据支持指数0.87/1
坐标40.7630, -74.2155
最近城市Orange (1 km)
城市暴露指数 (PEI)27.5M（50 公里范围内）
影响等级显著
时间2026-08-07T23:30:00.000Z
来源https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.be0037f1be48ccda76148b1d0ff925aa
许可US public domain · NOAA National Weather Service

物理优先级指数 · v1. 启发式优先级，并非校准概率，也不代表预测准确度或损失程度。 旧版数据支持指数综合了分配给信息源的支持度和字段的可用性。城市PEI按距离加权，不统计独立人数；为零并不表示无人在场。 模型说明卡.

来源与修订记录

来源：noaa。发生：2026-08-07T23:30:00.000Z。

首次存档：2026-08-08T00:02:52.809Z。实质性修改：未记录。

修订记录自建立之时起保留，更早的版本可能缺失。没有修订记录并不证明该记录从未更改。

评分构成

35
强度
100
城市PEI项
0
情景权重
80
记录参考 / 批次异常

技术细节

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescMonmouth, NJ; Bergen, NJ; Essex, NJ; Hudson, NJ; Passaic, NJ; Union, NJ; Bronx, NY; Kings, NY; New York, NY; Queens, NY; Richmond, NY; Westchester, NY; Bergen, NJ; Rockland, NY; Westchester, NY and 4 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued August 7 at 7:30PM EDT until August 7 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Expires2026-08-07T21:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Mount Holly NJ
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount7
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.be0037f1be48ccda76148b1d0ff925aa43db69d5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5d91568fd362c6503ff72913d79d7627f4eed9d2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0e2e32df2833601ec04af4bc33f2ed3de642ff51.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.89ea341664c82fcc85ced12b7c025fb661385d05.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.36286183260c107d047cd56ec7f0fe8927237f46.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3b08cfe49cdaacf2aaf88982001e207a578af414.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4e758e7e7f3c8bb089bafdf4bf8d9d749deb9ffd.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryM
Iem Magnitude48
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City1 S Mamaroneck
Iem CountyANZ335
Iem StateNY
Iem WfoOKX
Iem RemarkMesonet station XLAR Larchmont Harbor.
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安全信息

发生洪水时该怎么做

先说三件事，再说多浅的水就足以致命，以及之前、期间和之后该做什么。依据美国国家气象局（NWS）和美国联邦紧急事务管理署（FEMA）的建议。

针对本次报告恶劣天气 · Orange

  1. 开车时：掉头

    不要驶入被淹的道路，也不要绕过路障：水下的路面可能已被冲毁。洪水中溺亡的人，一半以上死在车里。

    NWS

  2. 不要涉水

    15 厘米深的流水就能把人冲倒。水下可能藏着打开的井盖和杂物，掉落的电线还可能使水带电。

    NWS · FEMA

  3. 水位上涨，就往高处去

    一旦发布山洪预警，立即前往高地。不要躲进封闭的阁楼：水可能把你困在里面。

    NWS · FEMA

只需很少流动的水

15cm可冲倒成年人
30cm可冲走大多数汽车
60cm可冲走SUV和皮卡

流动的水。数据来自美国国家气象局“Turn Around Don’t Drown”。人、车和水按同一比例绘制。

之前、期间、之后。这里已是“之后”。

之前 · 预报有强降雨时

  • 接收官方预警

    通过手机和当地政府接收，确保夜里也能收到。

  • 备好物资

    水、食物、药品、手电筒和电池，以备需要迅速撤离或断水断电。

  • 保护好证件

    放进防水容器，并保存一份有密码保护的电子副本。

  • 贵重物品放到楼上

    把无法替代的东西搬到高层，并清理排水沟和下水口。

Ready.gov（FEMA）

期间 · 水位上涨时

  • 叫你走，就走

    当局下令撤离时，立即出发。

  • 随时关注信息

    手机预警、广播和当地政府的通知。

  • 远离湍流上的桥

    水流可能毫无征兆地冲垮桥梁。

  • 被困在车里

    如果水流很急，留在车内；如果水进入车厢，爬到车顶上。

  • 被困在楼里

    去最高的一层，不要进封闭的阁楼。只有在必要时才上屋顶，并设法让人看到你。

Ready.gov（FEMA）· 美国国家气象局

之后 · 洪水退去后

  • 当局说可以了再回去

    在此之前，除非紧急情况，不要开车。

  • 不要接触积水

    积水可能含有污水和杂物；掉落的电线可能使水带电。

  • 小心用电

    不要触碰受潮的电器，也不要站在水里使用电器。只有在安全的情况下才去切断电源。

  • 发电机只在室外使用

    发电机和汽油发动机要放在室外，远离窗户：它们的废气在室内会致命。

  • 做好防护再清理

    戴手套、穿靴子和能遮住身体的衣服。不要让孩子帮忙。

Ready.gov（FEMA）

如有生命危险

911

紧急电话：美国

拨打 911

常见问题

多深的水能冲走一辆车？

约 30 厘米的流水能冲走大多数汽车，60 厘米能冲走 SUV 和皮卡。15 厘米就足以冲倒一个成年人。来源：美国国家气象局（NWS）。

美国的“Flood Watch”和“Flood Warning”有什么区别？

“Watch”表示可能发生洪水：做好准备。“Warning”表示洪水正在发生或即将发生：立即行动。一旦发布山洪预警，马上往高处去。来源：美国国家气象局（NWS）。

可以蹚过洪水吗？

不可以。洪水可能被污染，可能藏着杂物和打开的井盖，还可能因掉落的电线而带电。来源：Ready.gov（FEMA）。

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